Unveiling the Impending Break: Raoul Pal & Jeffrey Snider
Raoul Pal & Jeffrey Snider: Something, Somewhere, Is Going to Break
When it comes to predicting the future of the global economy, there are few voices as influential and respected as Raoul Pal and Jeffrey Snider. These two financial experts have been sounding the alarm bells for years, warning of an impending crisis that could shake the foundations of the financial system. In this article, we will explore their views on the current state of the global economy and why they believe that something, somewhere, is going to break.
Who are Raoul Pal and Jeffrey Snider?
Raoul Pal is a former hedge fund manager and the founder of Real Vision, a financial media company that provides in-depth analysis and interviews with some of the world’s top financial experts. He is known for his macroeconomic analysis and has been featured on major financial news networks such as CNBC and Bloomberg.
Jeffrey Snider is the head of global investment research at Alhambra Investments, a financial advisory firm. He specializes in analyzing the global monetary system and has been a vocal critic of central banks’ policies. Snider’s research and insights have gained a significant following among investors and financial professionals.
What do Raoul Pal and Jeffrey Snider believe?
Both Raoul Pal and Jeffrey Snider believe that the global economy is on the brink of a major crisis. They argue that the current monetary system, characterized by excessive debt and central bank intervention, is unsustainable and will eventually collapse.
According to Pal, the world is facing a “debt supercycle,” where governments and corporations have accumulated unprecedented levels of debt. This debt burden, combined with slowing economic growth and demographic challenges, creates a perfect storm for a financial meltdown. Pal believes that central banks’ efforts to stimulate the economy through low interest rates and quantitative easing have only delayed the inevitable and made the situation worse.
Snider shares a similar view, emphasizing the importance of the global dollar system in understanding the fragility of the global economy. He argues that the dollar’s role as the world’s reserve currency has created a massive dollar shortage outside the United States. This shortage, combined with the interconnectedness of the global financial system, poses a significant risk to the stability of the global economy.
What are the signs of an impending crisis?
According to Pal and Snider, there are several signs that indicate an impending crisis in the global economy. These signs include:
- Increasing levels of debt: Governments, corporations, and individuals have been piling on debt at an alarming rate. This debt burden is unsustainable and could trigger a wave of defaults and bankruptcies.
- Slowing economic growth: Many major economies, including the United States and China, have been experiencing a slowdown in economic growth. This slowdown is a clear indication that the global economy is facing significant challenges.
- Central bank intervention: Central banks around the world have been implementing unconventional monetary policies, such as quantitative easing and negative interest rates, to stimulate economic growth. However, these policies have failed to produce the desired results and have instead created distortions in financial markets.
- Geopolitical tensions: Rising geopolitical tensions, such as trade wars and political instability, can have a significant impact on the global economy. These tensions can disrupt supply chains, increase costs, and reduce consumer and investor confidence.
What are the potential consequences of a global economic crisis?
If Raoul Pal and Jeffrey Snider’s predictions come true and a global economic crisis occurs, the consequences could be severe. Some potential consequences include:
- Financial market turmoil: A crisis could lead to a sharp decline in stock markets, bond markets, and other financial assets. Investors could suffer significant losses, and financial institutions could face insolvency.
- Unemployment and recession: A crisis could lead to widespread job losses and a deep recession. Businesses may struggle to survive, leading to layoffs and reduced consumer spending.
- Political and social unrest: Economic crises often lead to political and social unrest as people become frustrated with their governments and the lack of economic opportunities. This unrest can further destabilize the global economy.
- Government intervention: In response to a crisis, governments may implement emergency measures such as bailouts and stimulus packages. These measures can have long-term consequences, including increased government debt and potential inflation.
Conclusion
Raoul Pal and Jeffrey Snider’s warnings about an impending crisis in the global economy should not be taken lightly. Their insights and analysis provide valuable information for investors and individuals looking to protect their wealth and prepare for potential economic turbulence. While the timing and exact nature of the crisis remain uncertain, it is clear that something, somewhere, is going to break. It is essential to stay informed and take proactive steps to safeguard your financial well-being in these uncertain times.
FAQs
Q: Who is Raoul Pal?
Raoul Pal is a former hedge fund manager and the founder of Real Vision, a financial media company. He is known for his macroeconomic analysis and has been featured on major financial news networks such as CNBC and Bloomberg.
Q: Who is Jeffrey Snider?
Jeffrey Snider is the head of global investment research at Alhambra Investments, a financial advisory firm. He specializes in analyzing the global monetary system and has gained a significant following among investors and financial professionals.
Q: What do Raoul Pal and Jeffrey Snider believe?
Both Raoul Pal and Jeffrey Snider believe that the global economy is on the brink of a major crisis. They argue that the current monetary system, characterized by excessive debt and central bank intervention, is unsustainable and will eventually collapse.
Q: What are the signs of an impending crisis?
According to Pal and Snider, signs of an impending crisis include increasing levels of debt, slowing economic growth, central bank intervention, and geopolitical tensions.
Q: What are the potential consequences of a global economic crisis?
Potential consequences of a global economic crisis include financial market turmoil, unemployment and recession, political and social unrest, and government intervention.
Q: How can individuals protect their wealth in a crisis?
To protect their wealth in a crisis, individuals can diversify their investments, maintain a cash reserve, and consider alternative assets such as gold or real estate. It is also crucial to stay informed and seek professional financial advice.
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CHAPTERS
1 Breaking Down the Eurodollar System and Why It Matters 01:30
2 Are Stimulus and Rate Cuts Coming? 05:34
3 Why Does This "Sticky Inflation" Narrative Persist? 09:13
4 The Fragility of the Monetary System and Its Repercussions on Banks 0:14:11
5 Where Demographics and Productivity Fit in This Puzzle 0:26:17
6 The Unique Systemic Risks That Commercial Real Estate Poses 0:32:41
7 How Does the U.S. Debt Ceiling Issue Play into This? 0:37:35
8 Why Are Yields Still Holding Up? 0:42:35
9 The Takeaways 0:57:22
Is there any indication or data that backs up Jeffs assumption that supply will or has recovered?
Great content channel… Thanks RP … !!!
Almost an hour? Too long too watch😢
Agreed about the necessity to ease again. I think the real reason they Tightened so aggressively is that they knew they would have to ease again due to real economic situation. I am not a Fed Governor but my genius level grasp of 3rd grade math tells me that it is difficult to ease when rates are close to zero. I have also seen the Fed do things that I previously thought impossible so, we will see. Staying liquid in the short term.
Has Jeff Snider ever made an actionable prediction?
Thanks for warning us every month 5 years in a row! Very helpful and useful! We are now absolutely sure that something bad will happen someday!
Jeff, as you said reducing interest rates is useless. Not a stimulus…
Also, Powel seems a bit of a joker 🥸
My view is: he will raise rates in September when everyone will be convinced they have to go lower! to squeeze the longs bonds 🤯
Then he will lower rates in December 😂 when no one believe it 🧐
I appreciate what you do, Raoul. However, I felt a bit uncomfortable seeing you bite your nails on camera today.
what you guys are missing is the energy aspect. We are in an economic war, the USA vs the entire rest of the world. As long as the dollar milkshake theory holds, maybe 5 more years(?), the Fed will attempt to keep rates higher than the rest of the world in order to absorb their liquidity. This keeps the US economy just a little bit stronger than the rest of the world. When that quits working the play is to begin digging into our own natural resources which may or may not include tons and tons of hidden gold that is so far not on the books. Stay tuned.
so eurodollars are mostly just offshore dollar derivatives….that makes for an interesting dynamic between the fed and ecb
Inflation ain’t going down in the long run. Aging global demographics are inflationary plus we are running out of easily accessible commodities. We will simply see a big shift in relative values as money flows out of assets into labour & commodities. That is net inflationary as CPI doesn’t include asset price inflation or deflation- but it does include services & goods.
Some real socialist critiques here: "That is one of the most unproductive parts of the entire 21st century is the degree to which finance and money overtook real economic factors to be the drivers of economic growth" (30:20). That is the socialist's argument about the problems of neoliberalism. "It's a trap we can't escape from because we've got everything backwards, trying to solve the real problems with the wrong types of solutions" (30:36).
Might I make a suggestion, the black swan is a large populous dropping dead in the near future from myocarditis. The adverse effects that Ed Doud has been reporting on are just the tip of the iceberg. These heart conditions take time to materialize. The deflationary effect of mass die off is coming.
Technology advancement needs high level chips. I see that as one of the real problems with supply chains be absolutely busted and an end to the peaceful world we've all gotten used to.
get a haircut
I think instead of pretending to be experts on the economy these two should switch to their true profession: clowning!
Scares me that the Eurodollar market size is unknown. So little transparency. This is where thieves make big money.
Wow! Just wow. What a discussion.
Excellent podcast from 2 real professionals
It is not just money supply but also GNP. The lies of GNP mean it’s decreasing so if M2 decreases too we can still have significant inflation.
Charles nenner says interst rates are going up for 30 years. It will be interesting to see who's right. ???. His models have been pretty spot on. Peter snieder is a pretty intelligent analysis also. I'm
Very intriguing to see what unfolds
The "Uncle Sam Financial System" coupled with the euro $ system is as BENT AS A STAPLE.
this system is bs, we need blockchain based true ownership instant settlement system thats transparent
Raoul & many guests represent true investment intelligence.
The interest is paid to who?
Who took all the money?
Who has a lot to answer for!
Fantastic interview