Stock Market Volatility Is Set To EXPLODE Again Soon
Breaking Out: New Closing High on the S&P
Hey everybody, wild day today on the S&P! So we finally are not going to be saying 4,200 every single day as we now have a new closing high on the index. We’re going to address what this means, the key levels, and what sectors actually led to finally breaking out of this little conundrum. Much to everybody’s surprise, we had a very clear breakout and we are flipping support and resistance. We’re going to explain why this is happening, what names to focus on, especially the ones that came out this evening.
Understanding the Breakout
The S&P Futures have been testing a key level and today we saw a clear breakout. This breakout is significant and suggests a shift in market sentiment. While there are some important economic data releases to watch, such as the NFP report, the breakout indicates a bullish sentiment in the market. Traders should pay attention to the key levels and use them as a guide for their trading decisions.
Sector Analysis: What Led the Breakout?
Today’s breakout was driven by broad-based buying of equities. Several sectors performed exceptionally well, including metal mining (XMA) and biotechnology (XBI). It’s interesting to note that XBI performed well despite the upcoming ASCO conference, which is a major event for the oncology sector. Other sectors that showed strength include technology (XLK), consumer discretionary (XLY), and financials (XLF). However, staples (XLP) and utilities (XLU) saw selling pressure, possibly due to investors shifting towards bonds.
Stock Analysis: Tesla, Nvidia, Lululemon, and Avgo
Tesla was the top performer today in terms of notional volume, surpassing the entire S&P. This indicates significant interest and large bets being made on the stock. The options market also reveals a preference for calls over puts, suggesting a bullish sentiment towards Tesla. Nvidia, on the other hand, experienced a decline after its earnings report. While the company beat expectations, it failed to provide substantial guidance, leading to disappointment among investors. Lululemon, despite its earnings beat, has been trading within a range. However, the stock is setting up for a potential breakout, making it an interesting stock to watch. Lastly, Avgo reported decent numbers but failed to impress investors with its guidance. The stock experienced a decline after the earnings release.
Technical Analysis: Patterns and Stop Placement
Technical analysis can provide valuable insights for traders. Today’s market movements exhibited several patterns, such as flags and breakouts. Understanding these patterns can help traders identify potential entry and exit points. Additionally, knowing where to place stops is crucial for risk management. By analyzing rejection levels, pivot bars, and confirmation signals, traders can determine optimal stop placement and manage their trades effectively.
FAQs
1. What caused the breakout on the S&P?
The breakout on the S&P was driven by broad-based buying of equities. Several sectors, including metal mining and biotechnology, performed well, indicating a shift in market sentiment.
2. Why did Tesla have higher notional volume than the entire S&P?
Tesla’s higher notional volume indicates significant interest and large bets being made on the stock. The options market also reveals a preference for calls over puts, suggesting a bullish sentiment towards Tesla.
3. Why did Avgo’s stock decline after its earnings report?
Avgo reported decent numbers but failed to provide substantial guidance, leading to disappointment among investors. The stock experienced a decline as a result.
4. How can technical analysis help traders?
Technical analysis can provide valuable insights for traders. By analyzing patterns, such as flags and breakouts, traders can identify potential entry and exit points. Additionally, understanding rejection levels, pivot bars, and confirmation signals can help determine optimal stop placement and manage trades effectively.
5. What stocks should traders watch for potential breakouts?
Traders should keep an eye on stocks like Lululemon, which is setting up for a potential breakout. By analyzing patterns and key levels, traders can identify stocks with potential for significant price movements.
Great content. Appreciate the analysis in your NVDA trade in the minute chart
How about the small caps? You said that it usually lead the market first before the tech rallies
Thank you for your videos, they are really helpful. Could you tell about MSFT stock, what would be a good stop loss for some OTM calls ?
Solid analysis as always
Yea please, entrance worthy patterns and exit pattern making stops
There are a lot of short positions under pressure all over the market, but no one else seems to talk about them. It looks like the stage is set for a widespread and painful squeeze tomorrow (assuming the bulls have enough capital to drive the squeeze to completion) When things settle out tomorrow can you please tell us what happened as far as those potential liquidity events? I mean like where players are pulling liquidity from as their margin pressure grows. And what it means as far as money-flows out of cash and between sectors. Thanks, your videos have been a great way for me (a fundamentals/growth guy) to see some of the stories that were just confusing noise before.
I bought TSLA yesterday. Clearly holding the 200 day. It just looks like it's going to rip. Thanks for fleshing out the nuances.
I like how you note the bullish engulfing is in “control” and is therefore challenged. Helps me conceptualize.
Definitely interested in a ‘stops’ video
Video on stops please 🙏
Again..another valuable video…thanks for making them….
Nvda trade was awesome. Please show more of that kindof stuff very useful. I got lucky i traded nvda at 399…and didnt get stuck. I got out in time.
great video bro ty
I would LOVE to see a video on stops btw
Look how far above the 200 day the ND is. Sure looks like a snap back is overdue.
The Hang Seng 🇨🇳 is a great opportunity 😃 👋
Do you have a private group?